TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 1:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns an upcoming NHL game between the Ottawa Senators and the Los Angeles Kings on October 29th. Markets exist for the game winner and for Over/Under bets on the total number of goals scored.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 29 at 10:00PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 29 at 10:00PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate new information or reflect the opinions of well-informed bettors. While both aim to predict the same events, the mechanisms and underlying motivations differ, resulting in potentially divergent odds for this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading volume (currently $625,574), and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific question wording or available outcomes might vary slightly between the two platforms, leading to differing interpretations and trading behavior. Furthermore, the platforms may attract different types of traders – some more focused on short-term speculation, others on longer-term analysis – further contributing to price discrepancies in this market.