TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers predictions on the outcome of an NHL game between the Ottawa Senators and the Boston Bruins, scheduled for October 5th. Markets include predicting the winner of the game and the total number of goals scored.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 5 at 7:30PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Bruins win, the market will resolve to "Bruins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 5 at 7:30PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Bruins win, the market will resolve to "Bruins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals, potentially incorporating a wider range of information. This market’s odds reflect what traders believe will happen, incentivized by potential financial gain. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than sportsbooks, especially when there's significant public information available. The volume of $113,170 suggests active participation in shaping this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors a certain outcome, while Predict leans toward another. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise among traders on each platform, or simply differing risk appetites. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $113,170 across both – can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed in this market, offering opportunities for arbitrage and informed trading.