TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Semrad Petr and Hajek Miroslav in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semrad Petr' if Semrad Petr wins against Hajek Miroslav. This market will resolve to 'Hajek Miroslav' if Hajek Miroslav wins against Semrad Petr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Semrad Petr and Hajek Miroslav in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semrad Petr' if Semrad Petr wins against Hajek Miroslav. This market will resolve to 'Hajek Miroslav' if Hajek Miroslav wins against Semrad Petr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how collective intelligence differs from traditional oddsmaking. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance risk and profit. This market, however, reflects the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the wisdom of the crowd identifying undervalued or overvalued probabilities. Significant differences may present arbitrage opportunities, where traders can profit by exploiting price variations between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The platform uses a constant product market maker model, meaning that the product of the share prices for all possible outcomes remains constant, ensuring that there’s always a market for buyers and sellers.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Semrad vs. Hajek match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to shareholders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the final settlement of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could influence trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related events or shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ chances of winning could lead to substantial price fluctuations in this market.