TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses different margin-of-victory scenarios for an upcoming NHL game between Seattle and Philadelphia. It focuses on whether either team secures a decisive lead of over 1.5 or 2.5 goals in their head-to-head matchup. Outcomes are determined by the official game result, with specific handling for postponements and cancellations.
The event covers four distinct outcome markets for the Seattle vs Philadelphia NHL game scheduled for October 13, 2026, each focusing on different goal-differential thresholds for either team’s victory. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by the exact margin defined in each market—over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the result still applies based on the final score. However, if the game is cancelled or fails to start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment across all outcome types. This structure allows participants to bet on varying degrees of dominance in the match while accounting for scheduling uncertainties inherent in professional sports.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that this market incorporates information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially regarding impactful news or changing perceptions about team strength. However, sportsbook odds are still a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present potential trading opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profits are earned when their predictions align with the final result. The current market depth shows the available bids and asks, providing insight into where traders believe value lies in this contest between Seattle and Philadelphia.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Seattle versus Philadelphia game. The market will settle based on the actual margin of victory (or defeat), and traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of their trade. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability are likely to cause price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly.