TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:26 AM EST
Kalshi
Seattle faces Montreal in an MLS fixture where the key question is whether both teams will score during the regular time period. Success in attack and vulnerabilities in defense for either side could determine if the match sees goals from both participants.
If Seattle and Montreal both score a goal in the Seattle vs Montreal MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, you may see the odds on Kalshi converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook lines. This difference can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome happening, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe both teams will score, the higher the price will climb, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect collective intelligence regarding the match’s potential for goals from both sides.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Seattle and Montreal score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders holding contracts predicting ‘Yes’ (both teams to score) will receive a payout if this occurs, while those holding ‘No’ contracts will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Seattle or Montreal would likely cause movement. Tactical changes announced by either team’s manager, particularly those affecting attacking lineups, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might impact the likelihood of goals. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable soccer analysts predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring affair could also move the market.