TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Seattle and Houston scheduled for October 28, 2026. The result will be determined after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can speculate on whether Seattle will win, Houston will win, or the game will end in a tie based on the final score at the end of regular time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Seattle vs Houston professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Seattle scores more goals than Houston by the end of regular time, the 'Seattle' market resolves to Yes. If Houston scores more goals than Seattle by the end of regular time, the 'Houston' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals by the end of regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Over time, prediction market prices can become more accurate than traditional odds, especially as more information is incorporated and trading volume increases. However, sportsbook odds may react more quickly to breaking news, while this market’s price movements depend on active traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, signaling growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that aggregates diverse perspectives into a single, real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Seattle vs Houston matchup as officially recorded. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout will depend on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected weather conditions or changes in game location could also have an impact. Furthermore, public sentiment, as reflected in news articles, social media, and expert analysis, can influence trading activity. Major shifts in any of these areas could lead to substantial price movements in this market as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.