TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a football game between Seattle and Denver, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It covers various possible score differences to determine the result, reflecting how decisively one team might win over the other.
The event determines the outcome of the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for October 15, 2026, based on the point differential between the two teams at the end of the full game, including any overtime periods. If Denver wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), or by any number of points between 1 to 6, 7 to 14, or 15 or more, the respective markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Seattle wins by between 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding markets resolve to Yes. The resolution hinges solely on the final point differential, regardless of which team achieves it, and all outcomes are evaluated against the specified ranges to determine the market result.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd and professional oddsmakers disagree regarding the Seattle vs Denver game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that margin occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by the collective intelligence of participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and opinions shift regarding the Seattle vs Denver contest. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point differential of the Seattle vs Denver game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning margin will be determined by the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The resolution will reflect the actual difference in scores between the two teams at the conclusion of the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct winning margin will receive a payout, while those with incorrect predictions will not.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Seattle or Denver teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or coaching decisions would be particularly impactful. Monitoring these factors and how they are perceived by the market participants is crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.