TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Nate Adkins or Lil'Jordan Humphrey will each score at least one touchdown in the Seattle versus Denver professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Nate Adkins a 100.0% probability and Lil'Jordan Humphrey a 100.0% probability of achieving this. The market resolves based on whether either Elijah Arroyo scores at least one touchdown, as determined by the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of play on October 16, 2026.
These markets resolve to Yes if the specified team's defense scores at least one touchdown during the full game, including overtime. If the defensive unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once the unit takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count toward special teams touchdowns. The governing body is not affiliated with the platform, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to game time. This can provide opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total number of touchdowns scored. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of touchdowns scored in the Seattle versus Denver game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of touchdowns scored will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or the Broncos would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role in driving price fluctuations before Oct 16, 2026.