TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specified minimum thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring an equitable outcome regardless of external scheduling disruptions. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of sacks a team must achieve for the market to resolve as 'Yes'—ranging from 2+ to 6+ sacks for both Seattle and Denver. The markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome criterion.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially as game day approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether Seattle or Denver will record 2+ sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official NFL game statistics will be used to determine the number of sacks recorded by each team. The market will settle based on whether Seattle or Denver achieved 2+ sacks during the game. The final result will be based on official data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key defensive players for either team – injuries, suspensions, or changes in playing time – would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather forecasts could also play a role, as adverse conditions might affect passing attempts and therefore sack opportunities. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from football experts or shifts in public perception could drive trading activity and alter the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.