TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve specific minimum numbers of field goals, offering varied risk and reward profiles based on the likelihood of each threshold being met.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by either Seattle or Denver in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ field goals) for a given team, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that can differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks may set opening odds based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective insights of many traders. As new information emerges – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both sets of odds will adjust. However, prediction markets tend to be more responsive to late-breaking news and can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, particularly closer to the event date. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two to gauge differing viewpoints.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price points – indicates how much conviction traders have in their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored by both the Seattle and Denver teams during the game will determine the outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key players – particularly the kickers and holders for both teams – would be a major catalyst. Unexpected weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact the number of field goal attempts. Game script is another important consideration; if one team builds a large lead, they may be more inclined to attempt field goals rather than risk turnovers in the red zone. Any significant news related to team strategy or player performance could lead to shifts in trading activity and price movements in this market.