TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Seattle vs Denver: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Seattle vs Denver?

Volume:
$14,447,884

Denver wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Denver wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 11:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denver wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$952,194
N/A
N/A
$608,792
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$462,615
N/A
N/A
$347,416
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 2.5 points

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,830,288
N/A
N/A
$4,076,101
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 7.5 points

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,238,603
N/A
N/A
$572,269
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 6.5 points

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,095,391
N/A
N/A
$578,521
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 3.5 points

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,015,757
N/A
N/A
$659,509
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 3.5 points

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500,912
N/A
N/A
$222,338
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 5.5 points

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$473,632
N/A
N/A
$184,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 1.5 points

0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$443,299
N/A
N/A
$229,887
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 6.5 points

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$408,507
N/A
N/A
$265,486
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 9.5 points

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$308,412
N/A
N/A
$176,291
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 10.5 points

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283,215
N/A
N/A
$144,488
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 4.5 points

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$276,020
N/A
N/A
$108,134
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 4.5 points

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275,662
N/A
N/A
$205,838
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 16.5 points

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201,764
N/A
N/A
$164,775
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 5.5 points

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186,930
N/A
N/A
$108,598
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 13.5 points

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,822
N/A
N/A
$62,858
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 9.5 points

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,074
N/A
N/A
$74,765
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,878
N/A
N/A
$50,961
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 7.5 points

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,714
N/A
N/A
$55,331
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 13.5 points

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,509
N/A
N/A
$62,396
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,623
N/A
N/A
$47,523
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 16.5 points

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,014
N/A
N/A
$21,124
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 10.5 points

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,048
N/A
N/A
$23,387
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market asks whether Denver will win their game against Seattle by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Denver winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 80.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, specifically if Denver wins by more than 2.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled match date of October 15, 2026, on October 16, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential stated in the market title. For Seattle markets, 'Yes' occurs if Seattle's victory margin exceeds the stated points; for Denver markets, 'Yes' occurs if Denver's victory margin exceeds the stated points. All secondary rules clarify that the platform has no official affiliation with the league and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current price of contracts representing whether the Seattle team will cover the spread against Denver. You’ll find a price history chart displaying how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $13,098,229. The total volume traded on this market is $14,447,884. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the game’s point spread.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, but as the event approaches, this market tends to converge with sportsbook lines, though differences can still emerge due to varying information and risk assessments. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome – in this case, Seattle covering the spread. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving beliefs of the traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of Seattle covering the spread.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Seattle covers the point spread against Denver as determined by official game results. The final score differential will be compared to the spread to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Seattle or Denver would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions.