TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Denver will win their game against Seattle by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Denver winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 80.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, specifically if Denver wins by more than 2.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled match date of October 15, 2026, on October 16, 2026.
All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential stated in the market title. For Seattle markets, 'Yes' occurs if Seattle's victory margin exceeds the stated points; for Denver markets, 'Yes' occurs if Denver's victory margin exceeds the stated points. All secondary rules clarify that the platform has no official affiliation with the league and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, but as the event approaches, this market tends to converge with sportsbook lines, though differences can still emerge due to varying information and risk assessments. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome – in this case, Seattle covering the spread. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving beliefs of the traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of Seattle covering the spread.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Seattle covers the point spread against Denver as determined by official game results. The final score differential will be compared to the spread to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Seattle or Denver would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions.