TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event refers to a professional football game between two teams, focusing specifically on the occurrence of a particular scoring play during the match. The outcome hinges on whether a specific type of defensive scoring play is achieved by either team during the game. The game is scheduled to take place on a specified date in the future.
If Seattle or Denver record a safety in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering events with complex factors. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful point of comparison to understand where public perception might diverge from the collective prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a safety being scored in the Seattle vs Denver game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of a safety. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, constantly adjusting based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether a safety was officially recorded during the Seattle vs Denver game according to official game statistics. The final score and official game logs will serve as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the data has been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key defensive players on either team could significantly shift expectations, as could changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that might increase the likelihood of defensive plays. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the teams’ tendencies to commit penalties or force turnovers could move the market as traders react to new information.