TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard milestones for specific players in an upcoming football game between Seattle and Denver. The markets resolve based on whether designated players achieve various rushing yard thresholds during the full game, including overtime.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the rushing yard threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after halftime, all markets settle based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria, and all statistics include overtime performance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to attract action, whereas this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. It's common to observe discrepancies, especially before significant events or new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insight into differing perspectives on the likely outcome of the Seattle vs Denver game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular total, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of the expected rushing yardage, influenced by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for both the Seattle and Denver teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The total combined rushing yards will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either the Seattle or Denver teams would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also shift expectations about rushing yardage. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or defensive matchups could also impact trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could move this market before Oct 16, 2026.