TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The market tracks rushing yards by J.K. Dobbins and Bo Nix in an upcoming NFL game between Seattle and Denver. Contracts pay based on the total yards each player gains, with payouts scaling linearly up to a maximum value.
Contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by either J.K. Dobbins or Bo Nix, with Yes payouts capped at $1.00. The Yes payout is calculated as $0.0025 multiplied by the total rushing yards, constrained between $0.00 and $1.00, with a maximum yardage cap of 400 yards. The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size. For example, 80 yards pays Yes $0.20 and No $0.80; 200 yards pays Yes $0.50 and No $0.50; zero yards pay Yes $0.00 and No $1.00.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from varying levels of information or differing interpretations of available data. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the NFL game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals for each team will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official NFL data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results as the resolution date approaches to understand the final payout structure for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs are major catalysts, as the absence of a star player would drastically alter expectations. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for running, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or changes in coaching personnel could also influence trading activity. Finally, any adjustments to player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to reassessments of rushing yardage potential, causing price fluctuations in this market.