TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses how many rushing yards specific players will accumulate in an upcoming football game between Seattle and Denver. Payouts increase progressively with higher yardage thresholds, offering different returns based on performance levels.
Contracts pay out based on the rushing yards achieved by designated players in the specified game, using a tiered schedule where each 10-yard increment corresponds to a specific payout value. The payout formula applies a cubic scaling to yardage values, capped at 200 yards, with Yes payouts calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y derives from the official rushing yards total. No contracts receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout, and negative yardage results yield a $0.00 Yes payout. The maximum Yes payout is limited to $1.00, after which the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that the implied probabilities from this market diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly if there's significant public information or a strong consensus forming among traders. These differences can present opportunities for informed bettors to identify potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market is driven by individual assessments of team strengths, player matchups, and potential game scripts, all aggregated into a single, dynamic price.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos are verifiable from credible public reporting following the conclusion of their game. The final market price will reflect the actual combined rushing yards achieved during the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the expected game plan or weather conditions. News regarding offensive line changes or defensive strategies could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news about player availability, coaching decisions, or even pre-game analysis from respected football analysts could all contribute to price movements in this market before Oct 16, 2026.