TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Seattle and Denver. It focuses on whether designated players achieve particular thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards during the match. The outcomes reflect these achievements, providing insight into individual player effectiveness.
The event evaluates multiple player performance thresholds across a single football game between Seattle and Denver scheduled for October 15, 2026. Each market specifies a different athlete and a unique yardage threshold that, if met or exceeded in combined rushing and receiving yards, results in a 'Yes' resolution. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if a player is listed as active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the prevailing fair market price before kickoff. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is later nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the total rushing and receiving yards they record during the game. These provisions ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes, particularly when dealing with late-game player status changes or administrative adjustments.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse perspectives. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing risk assessments and market participants. It’s common to see this market incorporate information that hasn't fully impacted sportsbook lines yet, leading to potential value for informed traders. The efficiency of this market can sometimes surpass that of traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals, and the price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent the perceived likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a higher yardage total is likely, they'll bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals for both the Seattle Seahawks and the Denver Broncos, combining both rushing and receiving yards, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results reflected in their account balances shortly after the official statistics are released. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Seahawks or the Broncos would be significant, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Unexpected weather conditions at the game location could also impact yardage totals, potentially favoring a run-heavy or pass-heavy approach. News regarding coaching decisions or player matchups could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team tactics could lead to substantial price movements in this market.