TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The market measures receptions by J.K. Dobbins, Courtland Sutton, and Jaylen Waddle in the Seattle-Denver matchup. Each catch by any player affects the payout, with a fixed reward per reception.
Contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by J.K. Dobbins, Courtland Sutton, or Jaylen Waddle, with Yes payouts capped at $1.00. The Yes payout is calculated as $0.05 multiplied by the total receptions, constrained between $0.00 and $1.00, with a maximum reception cap of 20. The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size. For example, 8 receptions pay Yes $0.40 and No $0.60; 11 receptions pay Yes $0.55 and No $0.45; zero receptions pay Yes $0.00 and No $1.00.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. Over time, prediction markets often become more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for understanding public perception and potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different outcome, the price of that contract will decrease. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players will be used to determine which contracts payout and at what value. The resolution will be based on the official game data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the Seattle vs Denver receptions market. News regarding player injuries, changes in offensive strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact expectations for player performance. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports about a player’s health status would likely cause significant price movement. Additionally, any major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could also affect trading activity and the prices within this market.