TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming football game, focusing on achieving various receiving yard thresholds. The markets resolve based on whether individual players meet or exceed designated yardage totals during the full game, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning they resolve based on fair price adjustments if a player participates in the first half but not after, unless they meet their yardage threshold. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count toward participation requirements. Players who never participate are subject to the non-participation rule. All yardage calculations include overtime periods, and the protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with at-least payout criteria. The event encompasses multiple players and various yardage thresholds, each with identical secondary protection rules governing settlement conditions based on player participation patterns across halves.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of the prediction market participants. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information or changing perceptions about the likely outcome of the game, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible ranges of total receiving yards. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs are validated by the eventual result. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market for forecasting the total receiving yards in the Seattle vs Denver game.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards total for both the Seattle and Denver teams, as officially recorded by the league, will determine the result. The market will settle to 100% for the contract corresponding to the actual total receiving yards achieved in the game. Traders holding contracts for the winning range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for other ranges will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the Seattle vs Denver receiving yards market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant, as their absence or limited participation would directly impact the expected yardage totals. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and, consequently, receiving yards. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any news regarding the opposing team's defensive strategies or personnel changes could influence traders’ expectations and lead to price adjustments.