TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Seattle vs Denver: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

What is the result of Seattle vs Denver?

Volume:
$39,617

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: over 27.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: over 27.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 11:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: over 27.5 yards

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,327
N/A
N/A
$10,366
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rashid Shaheed: over 14.5 yards

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,736
N/A
N/A
$3,540
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cooper Kupp: over 12.5 yards

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,035
N/A
N/A
$3,076
Settled
Yes
kalshi

RJ Harvey: over 10.5 yards

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,952
N/A
N/A
$1,717
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tory Horton: over 9.5 yards

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,397
N/A
N/A
$1,147
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AJ Barner: over 11.5 yards

0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,966
N/A
N/A
$4,893
Settled
No
kalshi

Emanuel Wilson: over 7.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,476
N/A
N/A
$1,430
Settled
No
kalshi

Troy Franklin: over 12.5 yards

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,146
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylen Waddle: over 19.5 yards

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$995
N/A
N/A
$964
Settled
No
kalshi

George Holani: over 7.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$704
N/A
N/A
$601
Settled
No
kalshi

Courtland Sutton: over 15.5 yards

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
$366
Settled
No
kalshi

Evan Engram: over 12.5 yards

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
kalshi

Marvin Mims Jr.: over 11.5 yards

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$128
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks whether specific players achieve a reception longer than a set yardage threshold in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on an individual player's performance, evaluating if they record a single play exceeding the designated distance during the match.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified player records a longest reception exceeding the stated yardage threshold in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual longest reception recorded during the game. These provisions apply uniformly across all individual player markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's performance under the same conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest reception market tracks the current prices for each player to have the longest reception in the specified game. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with price history charts showing how they’ve fluctuated over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $37,276, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $39,617. This allows traders to gauge market interest and potential volatility in the NFL longest reception market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a player is more likely to have a long reception than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that player will decrease, indicating higher implied probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts before the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player having the longest reception. As more people buy a contract for a specific player, the price of that contract increases, and the implied probability of that outcome decreases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the likelihood of each player achieving the longest reception. This differs from fixed-odds betting where the sportsbook sets the price upfront.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the longest reception, and the outcome will be based on the official game results. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all impact the perceived likelihood of a player having a long reception. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in offensive play-calling could also cause significant shifts in the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.