TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming NFL game between Seattle and Denver. The outcome depends on whether designated players record a certain number of interceptions during the match. Markets adjust based on player participation and in-game performance.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by specified quarterbacks—Bo Nix or Sam Darnold—during the Seattle vs Denver NFL game scheduled for October 15, 2026. Each market has a threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+ interceptions) that determines a 'Yes' resolution. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—including snaps nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of interceptions recorded during their playing time. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the interception count threshold specified.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to be accurate in their predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or a potential edge for those looking to capitalize on the difference. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential for interceptions in the Seahawks vs Broncos game. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Seattle vs Denver game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the contract corresponding to the correct number of interceptions will pay out $1.00. All other contracts will be worth $0.00 at that time. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ recent performance, injury reports for key players on either team, or changes in weather conditions that might favor passing or running plays could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about defensive strategies or changes in coaching personnel could also impact expectations. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements as traders react to and anticipate the actions of others in the market.