TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines whether either Seattle or Denver achieves a defensive or special teams touchdown during their scheduled game. Such touchdowns can occur at any point in regular or overtime periods, influencing the result directly.
If Seattle or Denver record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of individuals incentivized to be accurate. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can be insightful, as each represents a unique forecast of the event’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive/special teams touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and trading activity. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be determined by whether a defensive or special teams unit scores a touchdown during the Seattle vs Denver game. The outcome will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the game concludes and the information is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather conditions that could impact special teams play. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, the overall betting action and public perception of each team’s defensive capabilities will play a role in shaping the market’s price leading up to the game’s conclusion.