TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
In an upcoming football match between Seattle and Denver, this event tracks whether each team manages to score points in every quarter of regular time. The outcome depends solely on regular quarter performance, with overtime points excluded from consideration.
If Seattle and Denver both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand from traders who believe they have an informational edge. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or the release of new information. While sportsbooks may adjust lines based on betting patterns, the price here is a continuous reflection of trader sentiment. It's a good practice to compare both to gain a broader perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the outcome occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, where 100 represents a 100% probability of both teams scoring in every quarter, and 0 represents a 0% probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective beliefs of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on official game statistics confirming whether both the Seattle and Denver teams scored in each quarter of the game. The final score of the game will be the determining factor, and the market will settle to 100 if both teams scored in every quarter, or 0 if either team failed to score in any quarter. The resolution will be based on official sources and publicly available data.
Several signals could impact the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seattle or Denver teams would likely cause movement, as scoring ability is directly tied to player availability. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if inclement weather is predicted, could also influence the market, as poor conditions can impact offensive performance. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the price.