TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Seattle vs Denver: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

Seattle vs Denver: 4th Quarter Spread

Volume:
$119,335

Seattle wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Seattle wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 11:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,340
N/A
N/A
$10,873
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,780
N/A
N/A
$11,243
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,995
N/A
N/A
$8,831
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,069
N/A
N/A
$6,565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,808
N/A
N/A
$3,978
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,751
N/A
N/A
$5,153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,031
N/A
N/A
$25,818
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,494
N/A
N/A
$6,475
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,157
N/A
N/A
$5,247
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,747
N/A
N/A
$4,151
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,050
N/A
N/A
$3,744
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,705
N/A
N/A
$2,367
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
$407
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Seattle or Denver specifically within the final quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter of the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for October 15, 2026, with overtime periods excluded from consideration. For markets where Seattle is the favored team to win by a specific margin, resolution occurs if Seattle's point differential over Denver exceeds the stated threshold purely within the 4th quarter. Conversely, for markets where Denver is the favored team, resolution requires Denver's point differential over Seattle to surpass the specified margin during the same timeframe. Each market defines a unique point differential requirement, ranging from narrow margins such as 1.5 points to larger gaps like 10.5 points, allowing participants to speculate on various degrees of dominance either team might exhibit in the final quarter. The governing league's official scoring and game records will determine the final resolution, with all markets operating independently but under the same temporal and scoring constraints.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $114,377, and the total volume traded to date is $119,335. You can see how the market is moving in real-time, observe the highest and lowest prices reached, and understand the level of interest based on the trading activity. The dashboard provides a clear visualization of the market's dynamics, allowing you to assess the perceived probability of different outcomes for the Seattle versus Denver 4th Quarter Spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, you may see the prediction market odds converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds. It's common to observe that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls in forecasting event outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official 4th Quarter Spread as determined by official league sources. The final spread will be compared to the market’s contract values to determine payouts. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Seattle or Denver would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, significant late-breaking news or public sentiment shifts regarding team performance could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.