TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:28 PM EST
Kalshi
Focused on the final quarter of the Seattle-Denver game, this event determines if both teams score points during the fourth quarter of regular time. Only regular quarter scoring matters; overtime points do not affect the outcome.
If Seattle and Denver both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading in this market. It’s common to see convergence as the event nears, with both sets of odds reflecting the most up-to-date information and analysis available regarding the Seattle vs Denver game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both the Seattle and Denver teams will score in the fourth quarter. The price of these contracts reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of the event occurring. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if both teams score.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, following the conclusion of the Seattle vs Denver game. The outcome will be determined by whether or not both teams successfully score at least one point during the fourth quarter of the game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting of the game’s final score, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions regarding the Seattle vs Denver game.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seattle or Denver teams would likely have a significant impact, as would updates on weather conditions that might affect the game's scoring potential. Changes in offensive or defensive strategies announced by either team could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception and analysis from sports commentators can influence trading activity, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the Seattle vs Denver game.