TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Seattle or Denver specifically in the second half of their upcoming football game, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. For Seattle-based markets, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Seattle wins the second half by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). For Denver-based markets, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Denver wins the second half by more than the specified point margin (also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these calculations; first-half points are excluded entirely. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately against the actual second-half result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as determined by traders. You may find that this market's implied probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, as each venue has its own user base and factors influencing pricing. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Seattle versus Denver game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to collect on winning contracts based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments during the first half of the game, or even pre-game reports about team morale, could also cause shifts in the odds. Significant betting activity, particularly from informed traders, can also move the market. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for assessing potential opportunities in this market.