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Seattle vs Denver: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Seattle vs Denver?

Volume:
$6,441,910

J.K. Dobbins

 - Kalshi

J.K. Dobbins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 8:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

J.K. Dobbins

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$253,269
N/A
N/A
$173,102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dallen Bentley

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$4,793
N/A
N/A
$4,793
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Troy Franklin

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$976,362
N/A
N/A
$878,635
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$723,426
N/A
N/A
$690,454
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Barner

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$648,649
N/A
N/A
$629,769
Settled
No
kalshi

Bo Nix

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$581,462
N/A
N/A
$573,707
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475,652
N/A
N/A
$473,951
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylen Waddle

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$436,571
N/A
N/A
$431,346
Settled
No
kalshi

Cooper Kupp

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$307,534
N/A
N/A
$296,974
Settled
No
kalshi

Evan Engram

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$282,011
N/A
N/A
$277,278
Settled
No
kalshi

Emanuel Wilson

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$268,816
N/A
N/A
$252,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Courtland Sutton

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232,083
N/A
N/A
$223,979
Settled
No
kalshi

RJ Harvey

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220,751
N/A
N/A
$211,703
Settled
No
kalshi

Eric Saubert

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,475
N/A
N/A
$163,908
Settled
No
kalshi

Rashid Shaheed

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151,136
N/A
N/A
$145,230
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126,156
N/A
N/A
$125,829
Settled
No
kalshi

Tory Horton

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110,221
N/A
N/A
$106,476
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Adkins

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,359
N/A
N/A
$88,647
Settled
No
kalshi

SEA Seahawks D/ST

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,885
N/A
N/A
$60,139
Settled
No
kalshi

Elijah Arroyo

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,420
N/A
N/A
$61,556
Settled
No
kalshi

Marvin Mims Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,556
N/A
N/A
$56,979
Settled
No
kalshi

George Holani

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,803
N/A
N/A
$45,935
Settled
No
kalshi

Lil'Jordan Humphrey

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,080
N/A
N/A
$45,034
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos D/ST

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,768
N/A
N/A
$39,876
Settled
No
kalshi

Adam Trautman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,405
N/A
N/A
$37,024
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks which player will score the first touchdown in the Seattle vs Denver professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Marvin Mims Jr. a 27.0% probability of scoring first, while J.K. Dobbins is at 14.0%. The market will resolve based on whether the Denver Broncos D/ST scores the first touchdown in the game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on team injury reports leading up to the game on October 15, 2026, as player availability could significantly impact these probabilities before the market closes on the resolution date of October 16, 2026.

Kalshi

The first-touchdown markets resolve to Yes if the specified team's defense scores the first touchdown of the game. If the team is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the pre-game fair price; once a snap occurs—even if nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on actual touchdowns. The No Touchdown market resolves to Yes if no touchdowns are scored by either team during the entire game, including overtime. For all markets, if no touchdowns are scored, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes and all other player markets resolve to No. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as special teams touchdowns. As with other markets, the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current price of each potential player to score the first touchdown, the 24-hour trading volume of $6,083,711, and the total volume traded to date of $6,382,048. You can also view a price history chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and identify potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where the crowd is placing its bets on who will reach the endzone first in the Seattle versus Denver matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early movement in this market, as they represent a widely publicized starting point for public opinion. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information sources and varying levels of market efficiency between the two.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to own one unit of probability for that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time based on trader activity.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the player who is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown in the Seattle versus Denver game will determine the winning outcome. The official game statistics, as maintained by the league, will serve as the definitive record for resolution. Any scoring plays subject to review will be resolved based on the final ruling of the game officials.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would be a major catalyst, potentially shifting probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the odds. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or play-calling tendencies might also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular player – could also cause noticeable price adjustments in this market.