TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to settle positively. The outcomes depend purely on the game's first-half performance, not the final result.
The markets resolve based on whether Denver or Seattle scores over specified point thresholds in the first half of the Pro Football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point total benchmark (ranging from 2.5 to 30.5 points) for either team. If the designated team achieves or exceeds its respective threshold during the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If not, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets sometimes reflect the collective wisdom of informed bettors more accurately than traditional odds. However, it's not uncommon to see convergence, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for the first half of the Seattle vs Denver game will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual results. The platform will verify the results against official scoring data to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seattle or Denver teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.