TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the interplay between the first half and full game outcomes in an upcoming football match. They evaluate whether specific combinations of first half leaders and final game results occur, providing insight into potential momentum shifts and game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the specified Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game. For a market to resolve as Yes, both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must match the official outcomes. If either the first half or full game result does not match the specified condition, the market resolves as No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each requiring a specific pairing of first half and full game outcomes to settle as Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi will adjust to reflect this new data. It's common to see prediction markets move faster and more accurately than traditional sportsbooks, particularly closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's price, and the current volume is $193,240.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual result of the Seattle vs Denver match, specifically determining which team won the first half and the full game. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against reliable sports news outlets. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or cover their losses based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Seattle or Denver team would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the playing field, could also move the market. Furthermore, significant shifts in public perception, driven by analyst predictions or breaking news, could influence trading activity. Finally, late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could also cause the odds to adjust before Oct 16, 2026.