TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which player or team unit will score the first touchdown for the Denver Broncos in an upcoming football game against Seattle. Each market is tied to a specific participant, with outcomes determined by their performance in the game.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or unit scores the first touchdown for the Denver Broncos in the game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first Denver touchdown. If no Denver touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other participant-specific markets resolve to No. This structure applies uniformly across all individual player and unit markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each potential scorer.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on public perception and aim to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing for a more nuanced assessment of probabilities. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as different groups of people interpret the same information in unique ways. However, both aim to predict the same outcome, and comparing them can offer valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which drives the price fluctuations you see on the dashboard. The market efficiently incorporates diverse perspectives to arrive at a collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on identifying the first touchdown scored by the Denver team during the game. The official game records will serve as the source for determining which team scored first, and the market will settle based on that information. The process ensures a transparent and objective outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key Denver offensive players, particularly the quarterback or wide receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, updates on the opposing team’s defensive strategies or any pre-game analysis highlighting Denver’s offensive strengths or weaknesses could all contribute to price movements in this market.