TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market settles based on which team, Seattle or Calgary, wins the NHL hockey game scheduled for October 30, 2026. Postponements within 48 hours use the final official result; cancellations lead to fair price resolution.
The market resolves to Yes for the team that wins the game as originally scheduled. If postponed but started within 48 hours, the official result determines resolution. If cancelled or not started within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome depends solely on the winning team, with no consideration for score margins or overtime periods beyond regulation.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the larger number of participants contributing to the prediction market. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing trends. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means prices are determined solely by supply and demand within Kalshi, and are not influenced by any external factors or other prediction markets. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Seattle vs Calgary game, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the Oct 31, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or significant media coverage focusing on one team over the other, can also impact the odds. Major announcements about team rosters or coaching changes would likely cause a rapid adjustment in prices. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements.