TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group covers various spread and over/under markets for the Seattle Sounders FC vs. Houston Dynamo MLS game on October 28th. Markets include spreads with different point values, total goals over/unders, and both teams to score scenarios, with resolution based on the official final score.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 10:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 10:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective intelligence of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from a sportsbook’s initial assessment. While sportsbooks incorporate factors like team news and injuries, prediction markets can quickly adapt to new information and changing perceptions, and may offer more competitive pricing.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to variations in user base, market design, and trading volume. Polymarket may attract more sophisticated traders with specific expertise in soccer, while Predict might have a broader audience with varying levels of knowledge. Different market structures, such as the types of contracts offered or the fees charged, can also influence pricing. Furthermore, liquidity – the amount of volume available – plays a role; lower volume markets can experience greater price volatility and divergence. The differing top markets currently reflect this, with Polymarket favoring Seattle Sounders FC 1st Half O/U 2.5 and Predict having no top market.