TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:30 AM EST
Predict
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incentivizing participants to make well-informed predictions. Sportsbooks, while employing experts, may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional considerations. However, initial odds on Predict may differ from those at sportsbooks, reflecting differing initial assessments of the teams' chances. Over time, we often see convergence as new information becomes available and more people trade.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Sounders vs. Montréal match, and the price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe the Sounders will win, the price of a 'Sounders win' contract will increase. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are always up-to-date and reflect the latest information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Seattle Sounders FC vs. CF Montréal match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Sounders win, a Montréal win, or a draw – occurred during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price of their chosen contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also shift expectations. Furthermore, the results of other recent matches for both the Sounders and Montréal, as well as any tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, could all contribute to price movements. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and fan discussions, could also play a role in how this market behaves.