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410,482
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Closed: Oct 18, 1:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Seattle Sounders FC and CF Montréal. The markets consider goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. In the event of a postponement or cancellation, specific rules apply to determine resolution.
In the upcoming match between Seattle Sounders FC and CF Montréal, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Montréal" if CF Montréal are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Seattle Sounders FC and CF Montréal, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Montréal" if CF Montréal are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of insight than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their lines, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. Prediction markets, however, function more as information aggregation tools, where participants directly bet on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market’s odds are driven by the collective predictions of informed traders, potentially offering a more nuanced view.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Sounders or Montréal would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Additionally, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or expert opinions, could affect trading activity and shift the odds. Finally, unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes could also move this market.