TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Seattle Redhawks vs. New Mexico Lobos (W)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Seattle Redhawks vs. New Mexico Lobos?

Total volume:
$125,901
Volume 24h:
$121,707
5,502%
Liquidity:
$4,231
114%
Open interest:
$64,466
2,839%

Seattle Redhawks vs. New Mexico Lobos (W)

 - Polymarket

Seattle Redhawks vs. New Mexico Lobos (W) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Seattle Redhawks vs. New Mexico Lobos (W)

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Seattle Redhawks vs. New Mexico Lobos (W)

Trade
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$4,231
$850
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
kalshi

Seattle

100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,887
N/A
N/A
$25,682
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,164
N/A
N/A
$38,783
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of the women's college basketball game between the Seattle Redhawks and the New Mexico Lobos, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is flawed, resolving 'Yes' regardless of which team wins, while Polymarket defines a standard win/loss scenario.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as it offers a standard win/loss market with clear cancellation rules. Kalshi's market is effectively a 'game happens' market, not a prediction of which team wins.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on which team wins the game on November 2nd. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If cancelled, it resolves 50-50. 'This event is for the WBB game between Seattle Redhawks and New Mexico Lobos on November 2 at 1:00PM ET.'
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either New Mexico or Seattle wins the game. 'If New Mexico wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Seattle wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the WBB game between Seattle Redhawks and New Mexico Lobos on November 2 at 1:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Seattle vs New Mexico women’s college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If New Mexico wins, the New Mexico market resolves to Yes; if Seattle wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets stay open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while prediction markets are driven by the collective opinions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in prediction markets, and vice versa.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence how traders assess the probability of an event. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can vary, leading to price discrepancies. The differing levels of participation and information available to traders on each platform contribute to these variations. It's common to see some divergence, even for the same underlying event, as traders interpret information and express their beliefs differently.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Seattle Redhawks vs. New Mexico Lobos game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted source, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in the game's dynamics could also influence prices. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and move the market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market before it resolves.