TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners?

Volume:
$12,646

SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners

 - Polymarket

SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 7:59 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$4,531
$3,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 56m
Yes
kalshi

Seahorses Mikawa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,988
N/A
N/A
$2,454
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saga Ballooners

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,378
N/A
N/A
$4,120
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns a Japan B League basketball game between the SeaHorses Mikawa and the Saga Ballooners. The markets resolve to which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game date in 2026, while Polymarket refers to an upcoming game, implying the current year.Hero tip: Exercise extreme caution. The Kalshi market's date discrepancy suggests a potential error. Focus on Polymarket if you believe the current year is intended.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners game scheduled for October 31 at 4:05AM ET. If Mikawa wins, 'SeaHorses Mikawa' resolves Yes. If Saga wins, 'Saga Ballooners' resolves Yes. Postponements delay resolution; cancellations resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if the SeaHorses Mikawa wins the game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:05 AM EDT. Also resolves Yes if the Saga Ballooners win the same game. The date is significantly in the future.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for October 31 at 4:05AM ET: If the SeaHorses Mikawa win, the market will resolve to "SeaHorses Mikawa". If the Saga Ballooners win, the market will resolve to "Saga Ballooners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Japan B League basketball game between Saga Ballooners and Seahorses Mikawa, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, at 4:05 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as ultimately played, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result of the actually played game. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting an inability to determine a definitive winner under the event's parameters. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert analysis. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources, and this market provides a unique data point for assessing the potential outcome of the game.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi on this market can occur due to several factors. Differences in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies can all contribute to varying prices. Furthermore, each platform has its own fee structure and liquidity levels, which can influence how traders assess value. The differing probabilities reflect the individual assessments of traders on each platform, based on available information and their own risk tolerance. These dynamics create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences across venues.