TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense, a Brazil Série A match scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. Markets span spread betting (±1.5 and ±2.5 goal margins), total goals (Over/Under 1.5 through 4.5), and both teams to score. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties counted.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic based on the official final score from CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent threshold definitions for spreads and over/under markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official final score published on cbf.com.br (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: Palmeiras (-1.5) YES if Palmeiras wins by 2+ goals; Palmeiras (-2.5) YES if Palmeiras wins by 3+ goals; Paranaense (-1.5) YES if Paranaense wins by 2+ goals; Paranaense (-2.5) YES if Paranaense wins by 3+ goals.
- Over/Under markets resolve on combined goals: O/U 1.5 Over if 2+ combined goals; O/U 2.5 Over if 3+ combined goals; O/U 3.5 Over if 4+ combined goals; O/U 4.5 Over if 5+ combined goals.
- Both Teams to Score resolves YES if each team scores at least one goal; NO if either team scores zero.
- All markets count only goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
- If game is postponed, markets remain open until completion. If game is canceled with no make-up, all markets resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on its rescheduled date.
- Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets in this group resolve 50-50 (split stakes returned).
- Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed (abandoned), resolution is based on the official final score published by CBF at the time of abandonment.
- Source Verification Timeline: If CBF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon publication of the official final score by CBF (cbf.com.br) after the match concludes, or within 2 hours thereafter using credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.