TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SD Eibar vs. Burgos CF
Volume:
$89,628
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional La Liga 2 soccer match between SD Eibar and Burgos CF scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the three possible outcomes: Eibar win, Burgos win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement logic differs between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies that a canceled match (with no make-up) resolves Yes for draw and No for win markets.Hero Tip:
Monitor official La Liga communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is rescheduled, Polymarket markets remain open until completion. If canceled entirely, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. Kalshi's behavior in cancellation scenarios is undefined; seek clarification from Kalshi support.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw or is canceled entirely with no make-up game; (2) Eibar win market resolves Yes if Eibar wins, No if canceled; (3) Burgos win market resolves Yes if Burgos wins, No if canceled. All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Primary source is official La Liga statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Three binary markets presented as: (1) Burgos wins resolves Yes, (2) Eibar wins resolves Yes, (3) Tie resolves Yes. All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Logical structure implies only one outcome resolves Yes per match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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