TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Scotland and Slovenia, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It applies specifically to the game scheduled for October 6, 2026, and considers only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Scotland vs Slovenia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Scotland winning by more than 2.5 goals, Scotland winning by more than 1.5 goals, Slovenia winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Slovenia winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that the platform is not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful for anyone interested in the Scotland vs Slovenia match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Scotland vs Slovenia match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the game gets, the more active trading tends to become, and the price may become more sensitive to news and information related to team performance or potential injuries. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the probability of different outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Scotland vs Slovenia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contracts they held. It is important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Scotland or Slovenia would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other qualifying matches or significant media coverage analyzing team strengths and weaknesses could further contribute to movement in the market. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential trading opportunities related to the Scotland vs Slovenia match.