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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the result of the second half of a UEFA Nations League match between Scotland and Slovenia. Users are betting on whether Scotland, Slovenia, or a draw will occur based on goals scored solely in the second half of regulation time plus any added stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Scotland and Slovenia, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Scotland" if Scotland score more goals than Slovenia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Scotland and Slovenia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Slovenia" if Slovenia score more goals than Scotland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Scotland and Slovenia, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Scotland" if Scotland score more goals than Slovenia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Scotland and Slovenia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Slovenia" if Slovenia score more goals than Scotland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for profit margins, whereas prediction markets are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining both sources provides a more complete picture of expectations for the Scotland vs. Slovenia second half.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume typically leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds – how traders can create and fill orders – can differ between the platforms. These nuances can contribute to variations in the perceived probability of outcomes for the Scotland vs. Slovenia second half, even though they are tracking the same underlying event.