TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
Two national football teams face off in a competitive match, attempting to find the back of the net during the standard 90-minute gameplay, with all scored goals determining the outcome.
If Scotland and Slovenia both score a goal in the Scotland vs Slovenia UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand among traders. If a significant number of people believe both teams will score, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering better value than traditional sportsbook odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Scotland vs Slovenia match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Scotland and Slovenia score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the market will settle in favor of 'Yes'; otherwise, it will settle as 'No'. The final result will be determined by the official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Scotland or Slovenia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the market price.