TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Scotland (-1.5)
- Polymarket
Scotland (-1.5) - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 13, 2026
Time left: 10d:16h:01m
$
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Scotland and North Macedonia, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Scotland and North Macedonia, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially in events where public perception differs from the perceived probabilities. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, Spread: North Macedonia (-1.5), has a chance percentage of 99.0% based on trading activity. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Scotland vs. North Macedonia match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will occur promptly after the official result is available, ensuring a timely and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also impact the price of shares. Unexpected results in related matches or broader sporting events might also contribute to movement. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the implied probabilities within this market.