TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 10d:16h:52m
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In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Scotland and North Macedonia, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Scotland and North Macedonia, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and shifts in trader sentiment regarding the Scotland vs. North Macedonia halftime result. The current top outcome, Scotland leading at halftime, has a chance percentage of 57.5%.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result – which team is leading, or if it’s a tie – will be determined based on official match data. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced before halftime could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from reputable sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, early game events, such as goals scored or key plays, will undoubtedly impact the perceived probabilities and lead to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to the unfolding events and adjust their positions.