TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming Germany BBL game, scheduled for October 30 at 1:30PM ET: If the Science City Jena win, the market will resolve to "Science City Jena". If the Fraport Skyliners win, the market will resolve to "Fraport Skyliners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Germany BBL game, scheduled for October 30 at 1:30PM ET: If the Science City Jena win, the market will resolve to "Science City Jena". If the Fraport Skyliners win, the market will resolve to "Fraport Skyliners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate new information more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, analysis, and other relevant factors. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Science City Jena versus Fraport Skyliners game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even changes in weather conditions that might affect gameplay, could also move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related games or broader basketball news could also indirectly impact trading activity and the perceived probabilities within this market.