TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams, SCARZ and FearX, will compete in a Rainbow Six Siege match on October 17, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures victory on the second map of their best-of-three series.
If SCARZ wins map 2 in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 2026: SCARZ vs. FearX R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If FearX wins map 2 in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 2026: SCARZ vs. FearX R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of individuals with varying levels of expertise. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as both attempt to accurately predict the outcome of the SCARZ vs. FearX Map 2 match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for SCARZ to win map 2, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure liquidity and efficient price discovery. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome of the SCARZ vs. FearX Map 2 match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the SCARZ vs. FearX match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome occurred. Traders who correctly predicted the winner of map 2 will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It is important to note that the resolution process is independent and based on objective results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either SCARZ or FearX could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series could also impact predictions, as it provides insights into each team's current strengths and weaknesses. Major upsets in other related esports events might also create broader shifts in confidence. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of SCARZ winning map 2 has the potential to move this market.