TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:35 AM EST
Kalshi
In the same Rainbow Six Siege match between SCARZ and FearX, the first map's result will determine the market outcome. The teams play a best-of-three series, with the first map setting the initial tone for the match.
If SCARZ wins map 1 in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 2026: SCARZ vs. FearX R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If FearX wins map 1 in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 2026: SCARZ vs. FearX R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus informed trader views. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies may arise due to differing information access, biases, or the unique dynamics of each market. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially regarding team-specific news or player form.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of FearX winning map 1, driven entirely by supply and demand within the Kalshi market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 in the SCARZ versus FearX match. The outcome will be determined by which team is declared the winner of the map by the official tournament organizers. The final price on Kalshi will reflect the actual result, and winning contracts will be paid out accordingly.
Several signals or events could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Any news regarding player form, strategic changes within either team, or unexpected roster adjustments could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to the event, or even commentary from analysts regarding team strengths and weaknesses, could also play a role. Major upsets in related tournaments or announcements about map-specific strategies are other potential catalysts that could move the price of this market.