TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
In an R6 match scheduled for October 24, 2026, SCARZ and CAG by VARREL will battle across multiple maps. The determination rests on which team wins the second map in their strategic showdown.
If SCARZ wins map 2 in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 2026: SCARZ vs. CAG by VARREL R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If CAG by VARREL wins map 2 in the Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 2026: SCARZ vs. CAG by VARREL R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, leading to adjustments in this market’s pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders, and the market price adjusts based on supply and demand. Essentially, the price reflects the probability that a particular outcome will occur, as perceived by the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more likely the market believes that outcome is to happen. Traders are constantly updating their assessments, leading to dynamic price movements throughout the trading period. This creates a real-time probability assessment of the SCARZ vs CAG Map 2 winner.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the SCARZ vs CAG match, as reported by the event organizer, VARREL. The market will determine which team secured victory in that specific map. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event schedule and official results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for SCARZ or CAG could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches, even outside of this specific series, could influence how traders assess each team’s chances. Major upsets or dominant performances in other events could also create movement in this market as traders re-evaluate their predictions.