TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 4 at 11:00AM ET: If the Scafati Basket win, the market will resolve to "Scafati Basket". If the Pallacanestro Varese win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Varese". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 4 at 11:00AM ET: If the Scafati Basket win, the market will resolve to "Scafati Basket". If the Pallacanestro Varese win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Varese". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public perception differs from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Comparing the odds can be insightful, but remember that each represents a unique form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Scafati vs. Varese game. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the final, official result of the Scafati vs. Varese game. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact perceptions of each team’s chances. Game-day performance, including early scoring plays or key defensive stops, will also likely cause fluctuations. Additionally, large trades within Polymarket itself, driven by informed traders or shifts in overall market sentiment, could lead to noticeable price movements before Oct 11, 2026.