TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This group covers the outcome of a Serie A basketball game between Scafati Basket and Aquila Basket Trento. Markets exist for the outright winner, the point spread, and the total points scored in the game.
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 24 at 2:30PM ET: If the Scafati Basket win, the market will resolve to "Scafati Basket". If the Aquila Basket Trento win, the market will resolve to "Aquila Basket Trento". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the match as scheduled on Oct 24, 2026, at 2:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their genuine beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated insights of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than conventional betting venues.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Aquila Basket Trento wins at n/a, while Kalshi leans toward Scafati Basket vs. Aquila Basket Trento: O/U 164.5 at 99. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets.