TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
SC Recife vs. Fortaleza EC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of SC Recife vs. Fortaleza EC?

Volume:
$710,649

Fortaleza

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 9:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fortaleza

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$255,714
N/A
N/A
$162,489
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fortaleza EC

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sport Recife

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,567
N/A
N/A
$120,336
Settled
No
polymarket

SC Recife

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102,889
N/A
N/A
$57,418
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SC Recife vs. Fortaleza EC)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between SC Recife and Fortaleza EC on October 16, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Fortaleza EC winning is 99.2%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is the official CBF website (https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b). A draw is currently estimated at 1.0%. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 16th, as the final result will determine the market’s resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations, resolving to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, favor the Polymarket 'No' outcomes. Otherwise, consider Kalshi markets, but be aware of potential indefinite open status.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50-50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the game being completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, October 16, 2026 between SC Recife and Fortaleza EC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Sport Recife wins, the 'Sport Recife' market resolves to Yes. If Fortaleza wins, the 'Fortaleza' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the SC Recife vs. Fortaleza match. Currently, the consensus view shows a probability distribution across possible results, with a total volume of $710,649. This allows traders to express their beliefs about which team will win, and the market price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. The dashboard tracks the price movement and volume on each platform, providing a comprehensive overview of the prediction market for this event. The 24-hour volume is $685,083.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs, creating a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when incorporating new information quickly. However, sportsbooks often have higher liquidity and may offer more competitive pricing on popular outcomes. Both offer valuable perspectives for informed decision-making.