TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between SC Recife and Criciúma EC scheduled for October 23, 2026. Markets exist for SC Recife winning, Criciúma EC winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between SC Recife and Criciúma EC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Sport Recife vs Criciuma professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Sport Recife resolves the 'Sport Recife' market to Yes; a win for Criciuma resolves the 'Criciuma' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters. This can lead to differences compared to traditional sportsbooks, which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Examining both sources provides a more well-rounded view of potential outcomes.
Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to distinct interpretations of the same event. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, liquidity levels can differ significantly; lower volume on one platform can result in wider bid-ask spreads and more volatile pricing. Market makers may also employ different strategies on each platform, influencing the observed prices for the SC Recife vs. Criciúma match.